The course of the war reveals a fundamental paradox: while none of the principal actors appears capable of achieving a decisive victory, all retain sufficient capacity to obstruct a stable resolution.
Iran’s protests stem from more than hijab politics, but rather caused by a deep economic collapse
As Israel’s tactical gains fall short, a renewed Iran-Israel war remains possible
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's tactics are unlikely to produce a movement strong and organized enough to bring about regime change in Iran under the current circumstances.
Failure to conduct a realistic, measurable, and field-based threat assessment at the end of the 12-day conflict could lead Iran to greater vulnerabilities in the future with its current security architecture.
Israel’s airstrikes aim to weaken Iran, create domestic chaos and gain broader regional dominance
Tehran seeks an exit from a potential crisis with the U.S., while Israel pushes preemptive options to guarantee its safety