The Iraqi elections constitute a critical juncture that will directly influence Iran’s regional strategy.

As Israel’s tactical gains fall short, a renewed Iran-Israel war remains possible

While limited and transactional cooperation mechanisms may emerge between Tehran and Riyadh, a deeper and more enduring strategic alignment between the two countries remains improbable in the near term.

For Tehran, the Zangezur Corridor thus represents less a binary choice between obstruction and acquiescence than a test of its ability to align strategic red lines with policy innovation.

Israel’s air strikes revealed more than military weakness; they exposed a systemic failure in Iran’s ability to think strategically in an interconnected world.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's tactics are unlikely to produce a movement strong and organized enough to bring about regime change in Iran under the current circumstances.

Failure to conduct a realistic, measurable, and field-based threat assessment at the end of the 12-day conflict could lead Iran to greater vulnerabilities in the future with its current security architecture.

Iran’s decision to suspend cooperation with the IAEA represents a high-stakes gambit – an attempt to enhance deterrence without formally exiting the NPT.

Israel’s airstrikes aim to weaken Iran, create domestic chaos and gain broader regional dominance

Tehran seeks an exit from a potential crisis with the U.S., while Israel pushes preemptive options to guarantee its safety