The war that began on 28 February has transformed the Iranian nuclear threat in Saudi strategic thinking from a hypothetical scenario into a concrete, long-term security challenge, reinforcing Riyadh’s view of nuclear capabilities as an instrument of strategic balancing and national security.

Ukraine and Iran avoided escalation through ambiguity, but the Caspian incident exposed how fragile that restraint remains

Iran's ongoing strikes against armed Kurdish organizations are the field-level manifestation of a long-accumulating strategic transformation, rather than an immediate reaction.

The Iraqi elections constitute a critical juncture that will directly influence Iran’s regional strategy.

As Israel’s tactical gains fall short, a renewed Iran-Israel war remains possible

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's tactics are unlikely to produce a movement strong and organized enough to bring about regime change in Iran under the current circumstances.